Thriving as a Forever Student in the Investment Industry

Published: February 10 2025


Investor Knowledge +  5 Minutes = Current Insights

Taking a broad view of market performance in 2024, it’s clear that markets continued to deliver strong results, closely resembling the dynamics of 2023. Equity markets saw robust gains, due in large part to the same narrative: the dominance of a select few mega-capitalization (cap) names - The Magnificent 7 (Meta, Alphabet, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Microsoft and Amazon).  While it's true that the technology sector has been outperforming the market on a relative basis, it doesn't mean other sectors haven’t – they just don't get the same spotlight. 

The Industrials sector has also (quietly) delivered strong returns on an absolute basis in 2024, slightly lagging the market in what was a good year for stocks. Market cap-weighted performance of Industrials has been about in line with the broader market. However, the large, well-known names haven't performed well (Boeing, Honeywell, UPS, Rockwell Automation) while the smaller names (GE, Howmet, Eaton, Trane Technologies) did the bulk of the heavy lifting performance wise over the past year. This helps illustrate how broad and diverse the Industrials sector truly is, and how deep fundamental analysis can uncover opportunities for stock pickers. 

To shed some light on the investment opportunities in the Global Industrials space, we recently had a chat with Juliana Faircloth, Vice President & Director, Portfolio Research, TD Asset Management Inc. (TDAM).

The details on Juliana

Juliana joined TDAM in 2016 entering a rotational program where she spent valuable time on different teams including the Strategy, Asset Allocation and Public Equities Teams. In her current role of Vice President & Director, Portfolio Research, on the Public Equities Team she provides research coverage on the Global Industrials sector. Juliana co-manages the TD Canadian Equity Fund, TD Greystone Canadian Equity Fund and the PIC Canadian Blue Chip Fund and Model. Her education is extensive as she holds a B.B.A. with Honours and an M.Sc. in International Business, both from the Ivey Business School at Western University.

Before we get into questions about equity markets, can you tell us a bit about why you chose a career in the investment industry?

Having studied business and international relations, I was always fascinated by the interconnections of the global economy and how disciplines like economics, politics and culture intersect to shape markets. Investment management offers the perfect environment to engage with this complexity. Every day presents a new puzzle – whether it's deciphering how geopolitical events impact industries or analyzing emerging trends. This constant intellectual challenge keeps me feeling like a "forever student", a role I thrive in.  

What are your thoughts on the current investing environment for Global Industrials?

We love covering the industrials sector as it presents a compelling mix of secular and cyclical trends. On one hand, the sector is well-positioned to capitalize on transformative structural trends such as electrification, progress in artificial intelligence, the drive for energy security, onshoring of global supply chains and significant global investment in infrastructure. These themes are reshaping industrial markets, creating long-term tailwinds for companies that can innovate and adapt.

However, it's equally important to recognize that industrials are inherently cyclical. Sector performance is tied to macroeconomic conditions, with specific markets often moving through distinct cycles at different times. To navigate this environment effectively, investors must remain vigilant in identifying inflection points – whether it is an uptick in demand in a previously struggling market or signs of a peak in a fast-growing one.

Can you give some examples of these secular and cyclical opportunities?

On the secular side, electrification has captured investor attention within the industrial landscape. This is a trend fueled by a push toward energy efficiency, the catch up of investment in grid networks and, more recently, the rapid expansion of data center infrastructure to support Artificial Intelligence (AI). The electrical equipment industry has found itself at a massive supply and demand imbalance that has awarded global leaders and smaller players alike with the opportunity to drive volume growth, take pricing and expand their margins along the way. 

On the cyclical side, I would highlight the railroad sector. By traditional definitions, railroads operate in a structurally attractive industry – the market is consolidated into regional duopolies, barriers to entry are high and customer relationships tend to be sticky. However, over the past two years, the cycle has not been in favour of the railroads. The consumption glut of goods we experienced throughout the pandemic quickly shifted to an all-out spending spree on services, leaving the rails over staffed for a slowing volume environment. Looking ahead, the rails are well positioned for a firming up of the macro environment and rebound in volumes having improved operating metrics and taken cost out of the business. I think the sector is set to drive strong earnings growth once the cycle inevitably turns.

What would you say has been the most surprising thing you have learned or experienced working in investment management?

I have been surprised by the level of creativity that this career demands. While many view it as a numbers driven field, I have found that interpreting market dynamics, understanding consumer behaviour and sizing market opportunities all require a creative mindset. Thinking outside the box has proven to be as equally important a tool as analytical rigor. 

When not focusing on money management, how do you enjoy spending your free time?

Outside of work, my partner and I enjoy exploring the Toronto restaurant scene with an ever-growing list of exciting new spots to try. Staying active is also a big part of my life. I spend winter weekends skiing and love to mix in a Pilates or boxing class to stay energized and balanced. 

The information contained herein has been provided by TD Asset Management Inc. and is for information purposes only. The information has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable. The information does not provide financial, legal, tax or investment advice. Particular investment, tax, or trading strategies should be evaluated relative to each individual’s objectives and risk tolerance.

Certain statements in this document may contain forward-looking statements (“FLS”) that are predictive in nature and may include words such as “expects”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “believes”, “estimates” and similar forward-looking expressions or negative versions thereof. FLS are based on current expectations and projections about future general economic, political and relevant market factors, such as interest and foreign exchange rates, equity and capital markets, the general business environment, assuming no changes to tax or other laws or government regulation or catastrophic events. Expectations and projections about future events are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, which may be unforeseeable. Such expectations and projections may be incorrect in the future. FLS are not guarantees of future performance. Actual events could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any FLS. A number of important factors including those factors set out above can contribute to these digressions. You should avoid placing any reliance on FLS.

TD Asset Management Inc. is a wholly-owned subsidiary of The Toronto-Dominion Bank.

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